Will Congress Support Military Action In Syria? A ThinkProgress Whip Count [UPDATED]
by Igor Volsky and Judd Legum, ThinkProgress
click here for original article
As members of Congress consider President Obama’s request to authorize military force in Syria, following evidence that President Bashar Assad’s use of chemical weapons killed over 1,400 people, a ThinkProgress analysis of the public statements of 223 Representatives found that 124 lawmakers have either decisively ruled out supporting the measure or say they are unlikely to back it.
Just 35 of the 223 members of the House of Representatives said they will definitely or likely vote in favor or the resolution. Sixty-three are undecided.
Republicans were far more likely to oppose military action in Syria, while Democrats were more likely to support it. The numbers are a contrast to 2002, when Democrats in the House provided “the bulk of the opposition” to President George W. Bush’s Iraq war resolution — though a majority of Democrats (61 percent) still backed war. Only six House Republicans voted against the Iraq war in 2002.
In 2013, just seven Republicans in the 223-person sample said they will or are likely to vote for the use of force in Syria: Chabot (OH), Coffman (CO), Cotton (AK), King (NY), Kinzinger (MI), McKeon (CA), Rogers (MI). Twelve Democrats said they will definitely back the resolution: Vargas (CA), Rahall (WV), Perlmutter (CO), Pascrell (NJ), Pelosi (CA), Lee (TX), Israel (NY), Engel (NY), Deutch (FL), Castro (TX), Bera (CA), Foster (IL).
These lawmakers argued that the United States has a “moral imperative” to deter Assad from further use of chemical weapons and maintained that military consequences would deter bad actors like Iran and North Korea from using similar tactics in the future. Conversely, opponents of the resolution maintained that the nation could scarcely afford getting entangled in another conflict in the Middle East, following the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, and questioned whether or not limited action would be effective in deterring Assad or lead to greater American military involvement. No lawmaker supported putting American boots on the ground in Syria.
If the close to 40 Democrats who say they oppose military action all vote against the resolution and all other Democrats back it, President Obama will need to attract some 50 Republican votes for the measure to pass in the House.
Each member’s individual position, along with sourcing, can be found in this spreadsheet:
